Monday, May 16, 2011

OIL: The Import/Export Game

OIL:  The Import/Export Game

It's not enough that the U.S has engaged in any and all wars across the Middle East.  Ten years ago, it started as a "War on Terror" in response to 9-11 but continues to spread anywhere there are rocks and sand, possible terrorists and people who (paraphrased) "need to come out of their cave dwelling life style" and get with the times.

So what does America REALLY want?  To bring "democracy" to all people?  Oil?  Power?  Something to distract the American people?  Ask yourself, "WHY are we STILL in the Middle East?"  If you stop to think about what it costs for the U.S to be engaged in these wars and the fuel being spent all for the 17% of oil that is imported FROM the Middle East, it doesn't seem to make good sense.

We Got Saddam .  We got Bin Laden.  But We Haven't Got Enough.
According to the "Cost of War" website,  "To date, the total cost of war that has been allocated by Congress is $1.26 trillion, with $815 billion to Iraq and $445.1 billion to Afghanistan..."  It goes on to say that future costs are not calculated--such as medical care for soldiers and wounded veterans.  Nor does it include the interest on borrowed money which contributes to the national debt.  As taxpayers and consumers, that cost is being passed on to you.

Is it About OIL?
The EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration), breaks down America's petroleum usage:  "Although we are the third largest crude oil producer, about half of the petroleum we use is imported" (see Net Imports and Domestic Petroleum as Shares of U.S. Demand chart).  "Western Hemisphere nations provide about half of our imported petroleum"  (see Sources of U.S. Net Petroleum chart).  What begs the question is if we--the U.S.--are the world's third largest producer of petroleum, where is it going?


Phone a Friend
The general public is not well informed.  I don't believe most people have any burning desire to know or care when everything seems out of their control.  I had to phone a friend and financial wiz, Dr. Schwegel.  He put it to me like this:  "U.S. oil exports are up to ~1.6 million barrels a day. That's 9 percent of total refining capacity: 17.6 million barrels (abbreviated "bbl," which stands for blue barrels - Standard Oil shipped oil in blue colored barrels & were 42 gallons, for evaporation instead of 40 gallons - like a baker's dozen.

By contrast, we import something like 13 MMbbl (13 million barrels) daily. Main recipients of our oil exports: Mexico, Canada, Chile, Singapore and Brazil.

So why do we both import AND export? Is the fact that we export a reason not to drill off-shore on in Alaska, as some argue, since it implies that scant supply isn't the issue?

Look, first of all, being both an importer and an exporter of what seems like the same thing is increasingly the nature of world trade. California imports strawberries from South America; California GROWS strawberries to send everywhere else. Lots of factors are involved. But the most obvious is geography.

If I drill and refine oil in Montana, and you're right across the border in Calgary, Canada, and I export oil to you. Your Canadian cousin drills and refines oil in Quebec. She exports to me in Maine. A lot cheaper than shipping Quebec to Calgary, Billings to Bangor. And indeed, Canada is both the biggest importer of U.S. oil AND the biggest exporter of oil TO the U.S.

There are other factors to consider: personal relationships, institutional ties, the logistics of shipping. Singapore, for example, exports huge amounts of Asian goods to the U.S. When the ships have to go back to Singapore, we might as well put SOMETHING in them."

Geography:  Don't Worry.  We're Not Even Close.
So why IMPORT from Saudi Nations?  It's not a matter of "geography."  Do we just happen to have a tanker in the water and need to fill it up?  Besides keeping peace in Israel, I don't think we need the Middle East.  They cost us more than they are worth.

6 comments:

  1. Nicely composed piece, thanks for sharing with everyone.

    -DKS

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  2. I promise there's no political agenda or position in this post!

    Just a few things to think about for your comment about using fuel from the Middle East to engage in wars in the Middle East. Let's liberally say the military has a fleet of 10,000 vehicles in both war zones chugging along at an average of, say, 4 miles per gallon, that really is a drop in the bucket compared to the 230 million private autos (which partially answers your question of "where's our own oil going?") in the US, even running at a generous 20 miles per gallon. I really doubt the fuel expenditure vs. fuel resources in the Middle East is a net loss.

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  3. Anonymous. What do you recommend--that we DRIVE too much and should stop all that going here and there to work and back? Or are you one of the "electric car" folk who don't get that ELECTRICITY comes from fossil fuel as well? Meanwhile, back in America, Obama fucks up again and lets the Canadian pipeline slip into the hands of China. There goes 50% of our supply. And why the attacks on Libya? Just because a person in power doesn't LIKE the way they do things in their country? You can't tell me that's not about OIL! How would that work if every time America did something another country didn't like, we got bombed? It wouldn't. How about lifting the damn MORITORIUM in the Gulf of Mexico? Yes. Drill Baby Drill!

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  4. And honestly, I APPRECIATE ALL COMMENTS and debating is great so please comment on comments.

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  5. Great article. It is a nice read. It is troubling that while our fearless leader complains about our need to wean ourselves from fossil fuels, his is clocking the frequent flyer miles on Air Force One at a wopping 150K gal/trip. Hmmm. For round numbers, let's assume the average commute is 100 miles round-trip. This would mean that one Presidential jaunt to sell his socialist wares amounts to a single commute day for 30,000 Americans.
    What the Anonymous commenter forgot to mention is that, while the troups' fuel is small compared to what America consumes each day, it is still a financial and supply burden on America. Guess what?! That's another 30,000 commuters'-worth of fuel EACH DAY!!! I see a trend here. If Hussain O'bama will stay off the Presidential swingset and our troups stayed home, we could afford free commutes for 60,000 Americans every day or, better yet, put the $1M/day lost to senseless fuel waste toward reducing our national debt. Chances are that the market will see some financial responsibility from our "leadership" and minimize the cost/gal. volatility for gasoline.
    Just my not-so humble opinion.

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  6. PMM Superman. Great comment! Yes, he needs to stay home--which is what he is doing for his "Birthday Bash" or so I have read. I imagine Oprah and Chopra will be there. Thank the Lord I'm not on the invite list. On a current note, I think this whole dept ceiling thing is a diversionary tactic while Israel is divided. O'bama is a presidential prestidigitator who is seemingly great with shiny objects.

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